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Deriv Bull Market and Bear Market Index: How the Daily Reset Works and What Real Data Shows

Updated 2026-10-20 · H-BOT Africa team

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Quick answer: The Bull Market Index and Bear Market Index are Deriv Daily Reset Indices. The Bull index tends to rise during each day and the Bear index tends to fall, then each one resets. In 20 full days of real data, the Bull index rose on 15 days (average +9.3% a day) and the Bear index fell on all 20 (average −8.7%). But Deriv prices that drift in: a 1-hour Rise on the Bull index paid $16.86 per $10, while a Fall paid $23.20.
Daily change of the Bull and Bear Market Index over 20 days
Change within each full UTC day, real Deriv hourly candles (30 Sep – 19 Oct 2026).

How the Daily Reset Indices Work

The Drift Is Already in the Payout

Contract ($10 stake, 20 Oct 2026)Payout
Bull index, Rise, 1 hour$16.86
Bull index, Fall, 1 hour$23.20
Bear index, Rise, 1 hour$22.03
Bear index, Fall, 1 hour$17.54
Volatility 100, Rise, 1 hour (no drift)$19.61

Trading with the drift wins more often but pays less; trading against it pays more but wins less. To profit on a Bull 1-hour Rise you must win more than 59% of trades (10 ÷ 16.86). Over 5 ticks the drift is too small to matter: Rise paid $19.37 and Fall $19.70.

Contracts Available

On 20 October 2026 the API listed Rise/Fall, Rise/Fall Equal, Higher/Lower, Touch/No Touch, Ends Between/Outside, Stays Between/Goes Outside and Digits for the Bull index. Multipliers and accumulators were not listed.

How to Approach Them

  1. Check the payout for both directions before every trade; the gap tells you how strong Deriv expects the drift to be.
  2. Avoid very short trades if your idea is “trade with the drift”; the drift barely shows in a few ticks.
  3. These indices move fast, so keep stakes small.
  4. Test your idea on demo for at least 100 trades.

Try It Free on a $10,000 Demo

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Risk warning: Trading Deriv products such as digit options, multipliers and synthetic indices is high-risk. You can lose all the money you deposit, quickly. No bot, signal or strategy can guarantee profit, and past results do not predict future results. Practise on a demo account first, only trade money you can afford to lose, and check that Deriv is allowed where you live. This guide is education, not financial advice.
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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Bull Market Index on Deriv?

A Daily Reset Index with an upward drift during each day.

What is the Bear Market Index?

A Daily Reset Index with a downward drift during each day.

Is it easy money to buy Rise on the Bull index?

No. Deriv lowers the payout for the drift direction, so you need a higher win rate to break even.

When do the Bull and Bear indices reset?

Once per day; the daily candles start again from a reset level.

Can I use multipliers on the Bull Market Index?

Not on 20 October 2026: the API listed options contracts only.

Are the Bull and Bear indices volatile?

Yes. In our data they moved about 0.3% per minute, more than Volatility 100.

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