Bot Builder Rise/Fall Rules Tested: Trend, Momentum and Reversal on Real Deriv Ticks
How to Build a Rise/Fall Bot
- Open H-BOT Africa → Bot Builder (or Deriv Bot).
- Trade parameters: market (e.g. Volatility 100), Rise/Fall, 5 ticks, stake.
- Purchase condition: your rule, e.g. "buy Rise when the 20-tick average is above the 50-tick average".
- Restart rules: fixed stake after win and loss.
- Add take-profit and stop-loss, then run on demo.
Results: Four Rules, Four Markets
| Strategy | Trades | Win rate | Result ($1 stake) | Return per trade | Worst drawdown | Worst losing streak |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V100: Always Rise | 3,987 | 48.76% | −$196.20 | -4.92% | $214.85 | 16 |
| V100: Trend: SMA20 vs SMA50 | 3,987 | 49.36% | −$149.40 | -3.75% | $166.00 | 13 |
| V100: Momentum: 3 ticks same way | 2,072 | 49.95% | −$53.75 | -2.59% | $78.80 | 9 |
| V100: Reversal after 3 ticks | 2,072 | 48.7% | −$104.45 | -5.04% | $110.80 | 11 |
| V75: Always Rise | 3,987 | 50.97% | −$24.60 | -0.62% | $71.95 | 8 |
| V75: Trend: SMA20 vs SMA50 | 3,987 | 51.52% | +$18.30 | +0.46% | $52.45 | 11 |
| V75: Momentum: 3 ticks same way | 2,227 | 52.18% | +$38.90 | +1.75% | $27.70 | 11 |
| V75: Reversal after 3 ticks | 2,227 | 47.82% | −$150.25 | -6.75% | $153.05 | 14 |
| V10: Always Rise | 3,987 | 50.31% | −$75.30 | -1.89% | $105.20 | 9 |
| V10: Trend: SMA20 vs SMA50 | 3,987 | 51.14% | −$10.95 | -0.27% | $54.05 | 11 |
| V10: Momentum: 3 ticks same way | 2,257 | 50.95% | −$14.50 | -0.64% | $45.60 | 9 |
| V10: Reversal after 3 ticks | 2,257 | 48.87% | −$106.15 | -4.70% | $119.85 | 9 |
| V100 (1s): Always Rise | 3,987 | 50.87% | −$32.40 | -0.81% | $79.80 | 9 |
| V100 (1s): Trend: SMA20 vs SMA50 | 3,987 | 49.13% | −$166.95 | -4.19% | $172.20 | 10 |
| V100 (1s): Momentum: 3 ticks same way | 2,135 | 48.71% | −$107.00 | -5.01% | $123.00 | 9 |
| V100 (1s): Reversal after 3 ticks | 2,135 | 50.35% | −$38.75 | -1.81% | $94.55 | 10 |
Payout: $1.95 per $1 for a winning 5-tick Rise/Fall. A rule needs to win more than 51.3% of the time just to break even.
What to Take From This
- Simple tick rules hover around 50% wins on random markets.
- Filters can reduce trading frequency and losses, not remove the edge.
- Test every idea on demo for hundreds of trades before using real money.
- Plan the stake and limits first: bot settings.
The H-BOT Tested Series
- Every H-BOT tool explained and tested
- Digit Sync and Scanner tested on 80,000 ticks
- Speed Bot: fixed stake vs martingale
- Accumulator take-profit settings tested
- Signal Pro tested on 4 days of 1-minute candles
- AI Bot (Gann AI) tested with its default settings
- Backtester and Journal: reading the numbers
- KE Chart and AI Chart: how to use them
Earn From Deriv Without Trading More
Share Deriv with your followers as a partner and earn commission on the trading of clients you refer.
Become a Deriv partner Open a Deriv account Open Deriv Bot
Disclosure: some links on this page are Deriv partner links. If you open an account or become a partner through them, H-BOT Africa may earn a commission at no extra cost to you.
PRO
KES 1,500/month
All trading bots, Advanced KE Chart, all Academy phases, push notifications, trading journal
Get PROVIP
KES 3,500/month
Everything in PRO + HBOT Signal Pro, EA Generator XML, DBot XML downloads, priority support
Get VIPVVIP
KES 6,500/month
Everything in VIP + MT5 EA (MQL5) downloads, WhatsApp 1-on-1 support, custom strategy builds
Get VVIPPrices as listed on H-BOT Africa on 2026-10-06. The free demo needs no plan.
Frequently Asked Questions
What win rate does a Rise/Fall bot need to break even?
About 51.3% at a payout of $1.95 per $1.
Does an SMA trend filter work on Deriv volatility indices?
In our real-data test it lost less than always-Rise but still lost over time.
Can I test a bot before using real money?
Yes. Run it on the free Deriv demo account first.
Is Bot Builder free?
Building and testing on demo is free; H-BOT plans add more tools.
