H-BOT Backtester and Trading Journal: How to Use Them and Read Win Rate, Expectancy and Drawdown
How to Use the Backtester
- Open H-BOT Africa → Backtester.
- Choose market, contract type, stake and whether martingale is on.
- Run it and read the numbers below.
- Change one setting at a time and compare.
- Confirm the best idea on a demo account before using real money.
What Each Number Means
| Number | Meaning | What to look for |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | Share of winning trades | Compare with the break-even win rate for that payout |
| ROI | Total profit as a % of the starting balance | Positive over many trades |
| Expectancy | Average profit or loss per trade | Above zero |
| Max drawdown | Biggest fall from a peak balance | Small enough to survive |
| Equity curve | Balance over time | Smooth, not a cliff |
Backtester Payouts vs Live Deriv Payouts
| Contract | Old backtester payout | Backtester payout now | Live Deriv profit per $1 (2026-10-06) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rise/Fall | 87% | 95% | 95% |
| Even/Odd | 87% | 95% | 95% |
| Over/Under (Over 4) | 87% | 95% | 95% |
| Matches | 87% | 793% | 793% |
Before 2026-10-06 the Backtester paid a flat 87% on every win, which badly understated Matches (a real win pays about 793%). It now uses payouts close to live Deriv quotes.
Break-Even Win Rate
| Profit per $1 on a win | Break-even win rate |
|---|---|
| $0.95 (Even/Odd, Rise/Fall) | 51.3% |
| $0.40 (Over 2 / Under 7) | 71.4% |
| $7.93 (Matches) | 11.2% |
Keeping a Trading Journal
- Record every session: date, market, contract, stake, number of trades, result.
- Note why you started and why you stopped.
- Review weekly: win rate, expectancy and the worst losing streak.
- If expectancy stays negative over hundreds of trades, change or stop the strategy.
The H-BOT Journal (PRO) stores sessions and shows these numbers for you.
The H-BOT Tested Series
- Every H-BOT tool explained and tested
- Digit Sync and Scanner tested on 80,000 ticks
- Speed Bot: fixed stake vs martingale
- Bot Builder Rise/Fall rules tested
- Accumulator take-profit settings tested
- Signal Pro tested on 4 days of 1-minute candles
- AI Bot (Gann AI) tested with its default settings
- KE Chart and AI Chart: how to use them
Earn From Deriv Without Trading More
Share Deriv with your followers as a partner and earn commission on the trading of clients you refer.
Become a Deriv partner Open a Deriv account Open Deriv Bot
Disclosure: some links on this page are Deriv partner links. If you open an account or become a partner through them, H-BOT Africa may earn a commission at no extra cost to you.
PRO
KES 1,500/month
All trading bots, Advanced KE Chart, all Academy phases, push notifications, trading journal
Get PROVIP
KES 3,500/month
Everything in PRO + HBOT Signal Pro, EA Generator XML, DBot XML downloads, priority support
Get VIPVVIP
KES 6,500/month
Everything in VIP + MT5 EA (MQL5) downloads, WhatsApp 1-on-1 support, custom strategy builds
Get VVIPPrices as listed on H-BOT Africa on 2026-10-06. The free demo needs no plan.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is expectancy in trading?
The average profit or loss per trade; above zero means the strategy made money on average over the test.
How accurate is the H-BOT Backtester?
It now uses realistic payouts per contract; it is useful for comparing ideas, but always confirm on a demo account.
What win rate do I need on Even/Odd?
About 51.3% at a $1.95 payout to break even.
Why keep a trading journal?
It shows your real win rate, expectancy and losing streaks, so you can stop strategies that do not work.
